Efficiency versus effort: A better way to compare best photovoltaic research cell efficiencies?

نویسندگان

چکیده

Frequently, trends in record AM1.5 power-conversion efficiencies versus time, such as the NREL efficiency chart, are used to analyze relative merits of different photovoltaic material technologies. However, this approach belies effort expended achieving these levels performance. We introduce cumulative publications a proxy for total R&D efforts and find surprisingly that silicon, Cu(In,Ga)Se2 (CIGSe), CdTe, halide perovskite technologies have each followed essentially same learning curve 20-24% within 10,000 consistent marginal rate 5% increase per factor 10 publications. While spillover from non-PV technologies, cross-pollination other PV hidden commercial not accounted by metric, analysis still yields useful novel insights into technology trajectories. Trajectories below required more performance plateaus stagnation at large numbers may indicate (but do guarantee) existence fundamental barriers commercially relevant Lastly, examples watch identified currently exhibiting higher slopes, including some appeared dormant metric past years.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['0927-0248', '1879-3398']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solmat.2022.112097